From: Phil Bigelow <bigelowp@juno.com>
Reply-To: bigelowp@juno.com
To: dinosaur@usc.edu
Subject: H1N5 (and Bakker's virus extinction hypothesis)
Date: Fri, 12 May 2006 10:56:44 +0000 (pd)
http://www.usatoday.com/tech/science/2006-05-11-bird-flu-fears_x.htm
As I follow the H1N5 stories over the last couple years, I keep
thinking
back to Bakker's "viral" mass extinction hypothesis for non-avian
dinosaurs.
Although this particular strain of bird flu is deadly to birds, it is
only deadly to certain species. Other avian species seem to only
play
the role of unaffected carriers. And even though certain bird
species
have very high mortality rates, we are not seeing entire species
on the
brink of extinction because of H1N5.
The closest living relatives of Neoaves are the crocs, gators, and
caimans. Does H1N5 infect and kill these taxa too? (Cladistic
bracketing
comes into effect here. Would a paleovirus that kills _T. rex_es
also be
deadly to _Pachycephalosaurus_es..eses?).
Although the spread of H1N5 may be a poor model to test Bakker's
extinction hypothesis, it seems to be the best real-world model we
currently have. And as far as I can tell, this bird pandemic
shows no
evidence of being catastrophic to tweeters.
What elements are present in Bakker's hypothesis that are missing
in the
H1N5 scenario?
<pb>
--